Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 2

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Motagua		Independiente de la Chorrera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1	Watch
				Watch
	1.91	3.49	4.34
	1.86	3.45	4.03	Watch
	1.79	3.34	4.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.79)	3.35 ↓ (3.39)	3.91 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
48.5%

Draw
27.8%

Independiente de la Chorrera
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Motagua - Independiente de la Chorrera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Motagua (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Motagua will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Motagua will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Motagua (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Gomez R. (Pen),
57', 2 - 0, Cabrera M. ⚽, Serrano J. (A),
71', 2 - 1, Valverde A. ⚽, Avila M. (A),

Preview

Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Motagua won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.08.25	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.07.25	Verdes - Motagua	1:4 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
26.07.25	Génesis PN - Motagua	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Real España - Motagua	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Motagua - Real España	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLW
- Independiente de la Chorrera
Liga Panamena de Futbol
01.08.25	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Herrera	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Deportivo Universitario - Independiente de la Chorrera	3:2 ✺
14.05.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Tauro	0:1 penalties ✺
10.05.25	UMECIT - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
03.10.23	Independiente de la Chorrera - Motagua	2:0
26.09.23	Motagua - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1

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