The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Goianiense 48.9%
Draw 28.7%
Avaí 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
27.7%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
26.9%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Atlético Goianiense - Avaí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Tito 4. Barreto Viera O. J. 6. Guilherme 8. Cristiano 5. Leandro Vilela 7. Assis 10. Marrony 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
41. Leo Aragao (G) 4. Gabriel Simples 3. Allyson 55. Bruno Baldini 36. DG 77. Ze Ricardo (C) 8. Luiz Henrique 43. Thayllon 14. Daniel Penha 10. Jean Lucas 9. Avenatti F.
Substitutes
14. Adriano Martins 16. Ariel 13. Felipe Guimaraes 17. Guilherme 18. Jader 20. Leo Jaco 19. Leo Tocantins 15. Nata 12. Paulo Henrique (G)
30. Cristiano 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 16. Jamerson 25. Paulo Vitor 66. Quaresma 7. Rafael Bilu 5. Romildo Del Piage 11. Sorriso 57. Walace Franca
Coaches
Eduardo Souza
Cauan de Almeida
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Jean Lucas 🟨,
3', Guilherme 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Assis 🟨,
45+4', DG 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Avenatti F. ↓, Walace Franca ↑,
57', Assis ↓, Guilherme ↑,
65', Leandro Vilela ↓, Ariel ↑,
65', Marrony ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Walace Franca ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
71', Luiz Henrique ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
71', Thayllon ↓, Sorriso ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Guilherme ⚽,
81', Geovany Soares ↓, Nata ↑,
81', Ewerthon ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
81', Ze Ricardo ↓, Hyan ↑,
81', Jean Lucas ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
89', Felipe Guimaraes 🟨,
90+1', Cristiano 🟨,
90+4', Nata 🟨,
90+5', Allyson 🟨,
90+6', Rafael Bilu 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.
Atlético GO is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Avaí's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlético GO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético GO is the team to beat.
There will not play in Atlético GO: Adriano Martins
(Inactive)
There will not play in Avaí: Daniel Penha
(Injury)
Rafael Bilu
(Muscle Injury)
Wallison
(Yellow Cards)
Wenderson
(Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético GO: Igor Henrique
(Injury)
There are questionable in Avaí: Pedro Cuiaba
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Atletico GO
32
14
10
8
40:30
10
52
17
Avai
32
9
6
17
32:43
-11
33
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Goianiense - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Paulo Vitor (G) 
Barreto Viera O. J. 
Avenatti F. 
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