Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 4

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Sport Recife		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.25
	1.84	3.55	4.81
	1.97	3.38	3.84	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.4
	1.78	3.37	4.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.79)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	4.46 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
51.3%

Draw
27.7%

Avaí
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Sport Recife - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 7. Yago Felipe (C) 3. Marcelo Ajul 4. Ze Marcos 60. Felipinho 58. Ze Lucas 23. Ze Gabriel 6. Biel Fonseca 30. Chrystian Barletta 9. Pedro Perotti 25. Clayson	41. Leo Aragao (G) 2. Wallison 3. Allyson 55. Bruno Baldini 36. DG 77. Ze Ricardo (C) 25. Paulo Vitor 43. Thayllon 8. Luiz Henrique 10. Jean Lucas 57. Walace Franca
Substitutes
5. Benevenuto 65. Dede 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 1. Halls (G) 95. Iury Castilho 31. Marlon Douglas 8. Max Alves 63. Patrick 48. Pedro Martins	30. Cristiano 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 20. Isaias 16. Jamerson 38. Jefferson Maciel 21. Otavio Passos (G) 66. Quaresma 5. Romildo Del Piage 11. Sorriso 52. Wesley Gasolina
Coaches
Azevedo M.	Cauan de Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Luiz Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
34', Ze Marcos ↓, Habraao ↑,
40', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
40', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
41', Wallison 🟨,
45+4', Isaias 🟨,
45+8', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 1, Chrystian Barletta (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Biel Fonseca ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
46', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
66', Thayllon ↓, Sorriso ↑,
67', Luiz Henrique ↓, Romildo Del Piage ↑,
71', Wallison ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,
72', Pedro Perotti ↓, Gustavo Maia ↑,
74', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
86', Ze Gabriel ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
86', Walace Franca ↓, Isaias ↑,
86', Jean Lucas ↓, Cristiano ↑,
89', 2 - 1, de Pena Carlos ⚽, Marlon Douglas (A),
90+1', DG 🟨,
90+3', Gustavo Maia 🟨,
90+4', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Sorriso ⚽, Ze Ricardo (A),
90+7', Sorriso 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2.

Recife is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Avaí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Recife is the team to beat.

There will not play in Recife: Ze Roberto (Inactive)

There will not play in Avaí: Daniel Penha (Injury) Rafael Bilu (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Avaí: Wenderson (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Last Results with these Odds

Sport Recife - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	ABC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Sport Recife - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTWW
- Avaí
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	CRB Maceio - Avaí	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	Avaí - Cianorte	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Tombense - Avaí	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.09.24	Avaí - Sport Recife	0:2
18.05.24	Sport Recife - Avaí	1:2
29.09.23	Avaí - Sport Recife	2:2
07.06.23	Sport Recife - Avaí	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
10.09.17	Sport Recife - Avaí	0:1
04.06.17	Avaí - Sport Recife	1:0
14.10.15	Sport Recife - Avaí	3:0

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