Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena da Baixada (Curitiba)

Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Premiere


	Athletico Paranaense		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	8	Watch
	1.46	3.7	7.9
	1.47	3.98	8.13
	1.67	3.34	5.79	Watch
	1.44	3.7	7.5
	1.45	3.9	7.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	3.75 ↓ (3.85)	7.53 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
62.8%

Draw
24.8%

Atlético Goianiense
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.7%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Santos (C) 29. Benavidez G. 22. Teran C. 4. Arthur Dias 2. Gilberto Junior 27. Portilla J. 10. Zapelli B. 37. Esquivel L. 53. Dudu Kogitzki 8. Joao Cruz 9. Viveros K.	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Tito 4. Barreto Viera O. J. 6. Guilherme 8. Cristiano 5. Leandro Vilela 7. Leo Tocantins 10. Marrony 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
33. Aguirre F. 48. Bruninho 47. Chiqueti 63. Diogo Riquelme 5. Felipinho 11. Isaac 3. Leo 6. Leo Derik 21. Leozinho 14. Luiz Gustavo 1. Mycael (G) 70. Renan Peixoto	15. Ariel 18. Assis 19. Bruno Jose 13. Felipe Guimaraes 17. Guilherme 16. Jader 20. Leo Jaco 14. Nata 12. Vladimir (G)
Coaches
Hellmann O.	Eduardo Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Guilherme 🟨,
26', Benavidez G. 🟨,
29', Portilla J. 🟨,
36', Tito 🟨,
45+2', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Benavidez G. ↓, Chiqueti ↑,
46', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
46', Portilla J. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
62', Leo Tocantins ↓, Assis ↑,
68', Joao Cruz ↓, Leozinho ↑,
74', Marrony ↓, Jader ↑,
74', Geovany Soares ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
79', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
80', Leandro Vilela ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,
80', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
82', Zapelli B. ↓, Isaac ↑,
90+4', Assis 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atlético GO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Athletico Paranaense - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.59%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Bahia - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo RJ	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
16.04.26	Tocantinópolis - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
07.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	3:0
08.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.24	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
07.07.24	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	1:2
09.11.22	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	1:1
20.07.22	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	4:1
06.10.21	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	0:2

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