Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 16

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Plazas Alcid (Neiva)


	Atlético Huila		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.37
	3.1	2.85	2.43
	3.33	2.94	2.55
	2.9	2.88	2.45
	2.88	3.13	2.57
	3.15	2.7	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.8)	2.92 ↓ (3.03)	2.46 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
30.3%

Draw
31.9%

Independiente Medellín
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Atlético Huila could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
22.04.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
11.04.23	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLW
- Independiente Medellín
Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Nacional Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
16.04.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
12.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
28.08.21	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	3:1
24.10.19	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	0:1
01.05.19	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	2:1
24.07.18	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	0:0
02.02.18	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	3:0
19.07.17	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	1:1
11.02.17	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	2:1

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