Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 13

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Plazas Alcid (Neiva)

Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)


	Atlético Huila		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.4	2.95	2.2
	3.72	3.14	2.24
	3.2	3	2.2
	3.38	3.25	2.2
	3.25	3.15	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.7)	3.11 ↑ (3)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
27.6%

Draw
30%

Millonarios
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

32.4%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Huila's form might have worsened.

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Atlético Huila - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Millonarios will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 1.

Recent matches Atlético Huila is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Millonarios is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Millonarios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Millonarios will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
07.04.23	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
20.03.23	Atlético Huila - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
10.03.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Huila	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWLWW
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
08.04.23	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Millonarios - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
01.04.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Deportes Tolima - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
18.09.21	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	3:1
11.08.19	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	1:1
16.02.19	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	3:2
03.11.18	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	1:0
28.04.18	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	1:0
12.11.17	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	0:0
30.04.17	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	2:0

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