The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Tolima 39.4%
Draw 32.5%
Millonarios 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
32.7%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
31.8%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Deportes Tolima - Millonarios Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 16 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 62.5% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportes Tolima will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 26. Hurtado Torres Y. D. 17. Torres M. 2. Angulo A. 33. Velasquez S. 15. Nieto J. (C) 80. Rovira B. 13. Gonzalez M. 18. Perez K. 7. Gonzalez J. 11. Lencina G.
1. De Amores G. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 6. Mosquera S. 17. Arias J. (C) 20. Banguero D. 5. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 30. Viveros S. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 99. Hurtado J. 33. Castro A. 32. Giordana S.
Substitutes
23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 25. Fuentes J. 20. Hernandez J. 5. Mera J. 24. Parra Osorio A. 28. Pineda C. 19. Torres Patino J. P. 6. Trujillo C. 8. Valencia E.
10. Bruno Savio 25. Cuero B. 43. Marimon L. 70. Mosquera E. 12. Novoa D. (G) 4. Vargas J. 28. Vega S. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Castro A. 🟥,
21', Novoa D. 🟨,
23', Torres M. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Arias J. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Rovira B. ⚽, Velasquez S. (A),
37', Hurtado J. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
37', Giordana S. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
41', De Amores G. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Rovira B. ⚽, Velasquez S. (A),
45+5', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Rovira B. 🟨,
58', Gonzalez M. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
60', Angulo A. 🟨,
68', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
68', Gonzalez J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
69', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
69', Rovira B. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
72', Banguero D. 🟨,
80', 3 - 1, Lencina G. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
82', Sarabia C. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
82', Viveros S. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
87', Nieto J. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
Recent performances by Deportes Tolima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Millonarios is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
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Fiermarin C. (G) 
Hurtado Torres Y. D. 
Lencina G. 
Pineda C. 
Bruno Savio 
Vargas J. 
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