Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 9

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Plazas Alcid (Neiva)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)


	Atlético Huila		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.33	2.95	3.15
	2.7	3	2.43
	2.42	3.1	3.37
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.33	3.18	3.18
	2.3	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.85)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	3.12 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
39.2%

Draw
30.9%

Once Caldas
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

31.2%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

33.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Huila's performance.

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Once Caldas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Huila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Once Caldas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	54.5%	27.3%

Atlético Huila - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Once Caldas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
10.03.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Huila	1:2 ✺
06.03.23	Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó	3:2 ✺
27.02.23	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila	3:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.02.23	Atlético Huila - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.02.23	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLTT
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
13.03.23	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
03.03.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
22.02.23	Once Caldas - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
19.02.23	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
19.07.21	Once Caldas - Atlético Huila	1:0
19.10.19	Once Caldas - Atlético Huila	1:1
28.04.19	Atlético Huila - Once Caldas	1:0
19.08.18	Atlético Huila - Once Caldas	1:2
25.02.18	Once Caldas - Atlético Huila	1:0
31.10.17	Atlético Huila - Once Caldas	1:0
12.05.17	Once Caldas - Atlético Huila	2:1

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