Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Plazas Alcid (Neiva)

Referee: Hinestroza Romana J. A. (Col)


	Atlético Huila		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.5	4.28
	1.85	3.1	3.7
	1.91	3.48	4.05
	1.96	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.79)	3.37 ↑ (3.1)	4.04 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
49%

Draw
27.8%

Rionegro Águilas
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.4%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

30.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Huila's performance.

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rionegro Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Huila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rionegro Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.1%	27.6%	10.3%

Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Huila: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Figueroa J. (G) 3. Escorcia L. 4. Caicedo L. 26. Rivera A. 13. Delgado D. 6. Diaz B. 24. Robles C. 7. Hernandez S. 10. Vinicius M. 20. Gil Mosquera F. A. 11. De La Rosa W.	1. Contreras Verna J. D. (G) 3. Rodriguez S. 24. Pestana J. C. 6. Cuenu J. 44. Arboleda C. 11. Salazar T. 8. Villarroel M. 27. Hernandez O. 7. Estacio A. 19. Morelo W. 21. Mosquera Y.
Substitutes
80. Angulo Castro B. 90. Caicedo B. 9. Caicedo J. F. 19. Diaz T. 69. Luna Tobar C. 17. Mosquera Y. 1. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)	23. Caballero J. 26. Lozano D. 31. Mena J. 32. Mosquera D. 33. Oliveros A. 12. Valencia J. (G) 9. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Corredor D.	Farias Acosta C. A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 0.

Recent matches Atlético Huila is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rionegro Águilas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Rionegro Águilas have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
14.09.23	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
11.09.23	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	3:0 ✺
04.09.23	Once Caldas - Atlético Huila	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Atlético Huila - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
24.08.23	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LWWTT
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
14.09.23	Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
07.04.23	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Huila	2:1
16.08.21	Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas	0:2
27.09.19	Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas	1:1
02.04.19	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Huila	0:0
04.08.18	Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas	2:2
13.02.18	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Huila	0:0
05.08.17	Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas	2:0

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