Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Envigado		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.55
	2.98	2.88	2.58	Watch
	3.1	2.98	2.6
	2.81	2.89	2.72	Watch
	2.7	3	2.62
	3.06	2.89	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.74)	2.92 ↑ (2.89)	2.58 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
31.7%

Draw
32%

Rionegro Águilas
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

32.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

33.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Envigado - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Envigado (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Envigado (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 2. Palacios D. 3. Holguin J. 6. Palacio J. 20. Catano J. 34. Diaz L. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A. 13. Soto T. 9. Londono S.	12. Banguera G. (G) 26. Lozano D. 5. Hernandez D. 29. Lopes H. 6. Blanco Betancur C. 22. Lozano F. (C) 16. Pineda J. 11. Yony Gonzalez 80. Palacio B. 37. Ramirez M. 19. Morelo W.
Substitutes
70. Araujo J. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 11. Garces J. 39. Gomez L. 14. Hinestroza J. 27. Quejada J. 16. Ramirez N. 88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N.	24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 23. Caballero J. 34. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 27. Mancilla H. 32. Mena J. 99. Obregon J. 4. Puerta M.
Coaches
Orozco A.	Risueno J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Londono S. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Yony Gonzalez ⚽, Pineda J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Palacio B. ↓, Caballero J. ↑,
46', Londono S. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
58', Soto T. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
60', Palacios D. 🟨,
63', Lozano D. 🟨,
70', Lozano D. ↓, Puerta M. ↑,
71', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
71', Morelo W. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
73', Catano J. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
78', Palacio J. 🟨,
86', Blanco Betancur C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
86', Holguin J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
86', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
90+1', Lopes H. 🟨,
90+1', Palacios D. 🟨,
90+5', Hernandez D. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 1, Araujo J. ⚽, Cuervo S. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rionegro Águilas - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Copa
03.09.25	Envigado - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
31.08.25	Atlético Nacional - Envigado	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Envigado - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado	1:0 ✺
14.08.25	Deportivo Pasto - Envigado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WLTLW
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
29.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	2:0
Colombian Primera A
10.05.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	0:2
23.03.25	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0
24.10.24	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	3:0
23.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	2:0
24.10.23	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	3:1
11.09.23	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	2:2

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