Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tlahuicole (Tlaxcala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tlaxcala		Leones Negros UdeG

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.40	4.50
	1.78	3.40	4.25	Watch
	1.75	3.68	5.19
	1.76	3.52	4.73	Watch
	1.67	3.60	5.10
	1.75	3.50	4.74	Watch
	1.67	3.45	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)	3.51 ↑ (3.46)	4.74 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
53.9%

Draw
26.5%

Leones Negros UdeG
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ramirez S. (G) 2. Gonzalez C. 21. Garcia E. 14. Vazquez B. 1. Govea I. (C) 25. Flores B. 6. Iniestra A. 11. Alvarez D. 10. Figueroa F. 7. Hernandez E. 19. Camacho Lastra R. E.	1. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 83. Escalante J. 24. Aguayo J. 21. Gonzalez O. 5. Torres U. 34. Hernandez S. A. 6. Marchand J. (C) 10. Brigido J. 20. Gil O. 19. Loera K.
Substitutes
9. Christian 23. Gonzalez P. 28. Hernandez D. 31. Hernandez R. 30. Nuno A. (G) 24. Robles E. 5. Sancho J. 29. Trejo Castro M. A. 17. Zamudio J.	15. Carreon A. 12. Martin S. (G) 27. Meza U. 7. Munoz D. 93. Nuno M. 11. Perez J. 31. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Fernandez R.	Sosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Loera K. ⚽, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. (A),
20', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Gil O. ⚽, Hernandez S. A. (A),
35', Hernandez E. 🟨,
41', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Alvarez D. ⚽, Govea I. (A),
51', 2 - 2, Flores B. ⚽,
56', Hernandez E. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Marchand J. ⚽, Torres U. (A),
67', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Christian ↑,
67', Iniestra A. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
72', Flores B. 🟨,
76', Loera K. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
76', Gil O. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
79', Christian 🟨,
80', Figueroa F. ↓, Zamudio J. ↑,
80', Flores B. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Munoz D. ⚽, Aguayo J. (A),
85', Brigido J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
90+6', Gonzalez C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.

In this match, Tlaxcala is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros	11	7	2	2	27:16	11	23
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19:23	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.04.26	Tlaxcala - Venados	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Tapatío - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Tlaxcala - Dorados	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Jaiba Brava - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLWT
- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.04.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Venados - Leones Negros UdeG	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético Morelia	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.02.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	5:2
31.08.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tlaxcala	2:2
02.02.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tlaxcala	5:1
17.08.24	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2
23.03.24	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	0:4
29.10.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Tlaxcala	2:1
31.03.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Tlaxcala	3:0

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