Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports Golf
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 1
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 7
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, Prime Video Sportsbar DE, WOW
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 6
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ Action
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 5
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 4
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 7
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter


	Stuttgart		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2
	2.95	3.80	2.20
	3.4	3.85	2.05
	3.5	3.94	2.07
	3.55	3.97	2.01
	3.35	3.9	2.03
	3.39	4.01	2.13
	3.3	3.9	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.87)	3.9 ↑ (3.79)	2.07 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
28.8%

Draw
24.7%

Atlético Madrid
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25.2%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	21.4%	73.8%

Stuttgart - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 2 - 4.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 31 - 73.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 60.5% – 87.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Atlético (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 3. Hendriks R. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 21. Promel G. 6. Stiller A. 18. Leweling J. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Fuhrich C. 26. Undav D. (C)	13. Oblak J. (C) 14. Llorente M. 18. Pubill M. 17. Hancko D. 22. Grimaldo A. 20. Simeone G. 8. Barrios P. 23. Hjulmand M. 10. Baena A. 15. David J. 19. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 22. Assignon L. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 9. Demirovic E. 33. Funk M. (G) 14. Jaquez L. 29. Jeltsch F. 16. Karazor A. 28. Nartey N. 17. Pejcinovic D. 44. Sauer L.	5. Cardoso J. 46. Castillo J. 27. Dominguez J. 7. Lee Kang-In 24. Le Normand R. 11. Lookman A. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 1. Musso J. (G) 16. Ortiz A. 9. Sorloth A. 3. Vargas O.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Mittelstadt M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Leweling J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', David J. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
52', Vagnoman J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
64', Hjulmand M. 🟥,
69', Baena A. ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
72', Leweling J. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
78', Alvarez J. ↓, Vargas O. ↑,
78', Barrios P. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
85', Simeone D. 🟨,
87', Simeone G. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
87', Undav D. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
87', Fuhrich C. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,

Preview

Stuttgart has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Atlético is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Atlético holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Drljaca S. (Off the roster) Stergiou L. (Off the roster) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Atlético: Koke (Muscle Injury) Romero C. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Stuttgart has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Stuttgart against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	7:2	5	7
16	Atl. Madrid	3	1	1	1	4:3	1	4

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Atl. Madrid: 2.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Slovan Bratislava - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Paderborn - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Stuttgart - Greuther Fürth	5:0 ✺
25.09.26	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.26	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.18	Stuttgart - Atlético Madrid	1:1

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