Freiburg - Bayern Munich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

CloudbetWelcome Package up to $2,500 Cash

#advertisement
betinasia
betinasia
partner
Advertisement

Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
    angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
    brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, SporTV
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, New World TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryArena 4
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
    mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
    sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
    south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamTV 360
    worldWorldOnefootball
    Freiburg Bayern Munich
    Freiburg Bayern Munich
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 5.25 4.75 1.53 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    betsson 5.4 4.7 1.55 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bet_in_Asia 5.58 4.9 1.54
    GGBet 5.55 4.98 1.54 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 5 4.4 1.5 Watch and Bet Watch
    BetNow 5.65 4.85 1.54 Watch and Bet Watch
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.41
    (6.42)
    4.76
    (5.45)
    1.53
    (1.4)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Freiburg
    17.7%
    Draw
    20%
    Bayern Munich
    62.3%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    14.8% 17.4% 67.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    14.3% 16.8% 70.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern Munich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    17.2% 24.1% 58.6%
    banner

    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Bayern will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 40.8%77.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.75 - Bayern (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Freiburg (5.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - draw (3.71) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bayern (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
  • Bet Now - Advertisement#ad

    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanyAtubolu N. (G)
    29. GermanyTreu P.
    28. GermanyGinter M.
      3. AustriaLienhart P.
    30. GermanyGunter C. (C)
      8. GermanyEggestein M.
    44. SwitzerlandManzambi J.
    19. GermanyBeste J.
    14. JapanSuzuki Y.
      7. GermanyScherhant D.
      9. GermanyHoler L.
      1. GermanyNeuer M. (C)
    44. CroatiaStanisic J.
      3. SouthKim Min-Jae
      4. GermanyTah J.
    20. GermanyBischof T.
      6. GermanyKimmich J.
      8. GermanyGoretzka L.
    42. GermanyKarl L.
    22. PortugalGuerreiro R.
    14. ColombiaDiaz L.
      7. GermanyGnabry S.
    Substitutes
    32. ItalyGrifo V.
    27. GermanyHofler N.
    22. BurkinaIrie C.
      5. GermanyJung A.
    17. GermanyKubler L.
    31. CroatiaMatanovic I.
    21. GermanyMuller F. (G)
    43. SwitzerlandOgbus B.
    26. GermanyPhilipp M.
    49. BrazilCardozo M.
    19. CanadaDavies A.
    21. JapanIto H.
    27. AustriaLaimer K.
    10. GermanyMusiala J.
    17. FranceOlise M.
    45. GermanyPavlovic A.
      2. FranceUpamecano D.
    40. GermanyUrbig J. (G)
    Coaches
         GermanySchuster J.
         BelgiumKompany V.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 25', Tah J. 🟨,
    • 29', Ginter M. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
    • 46', 1 - 0, Manzambi J. , Eggestein M. (A),
    • 56', Guerreiro R. , Olise M. ,
    • 56', Tah J. , Laimer K. ,
    • 56', Goretzka L. , Pavlovic A. ,
    • 65', Gunter C. , Kubler L. ,
    • 65', Gnabry S. , Musiala J. ,
    • 71', 2 - 0, Holer L. ,
    • 73', Olise M. 🟨,
    • 78', Beste J. , Irie C. ,
    • 78', Manzambi J. , Matanovic I. ,
    • 81', 2 - 1, Bischof T. , Karl L. (A),
    • 87', Kim Min-Jae , Davies A. ,
    • 89', Holer L. , Ogbus B. ,
    • 90', Suzuki Y. , Hofler N. ,
    • 90+2', 2 - 2, Bischof T. , Olise M. (A),
    • 90+9', 2 - 3, Karl L. , Davies A. (A),
    • 90+9', Atubolu N. 🟨,
    • 90+10', Karl L. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
  • Freiburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.
  • There will not play in Freiburg: Rosenfelder M. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There will not play in Bayern: Jackson N. (Red Card) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Mike W. (Hip Injury) Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • There are questionable in Bayern: Kane H. (Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:55. (average 0.9:2.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).
  • banner

    Outrights of German Bundesliga for now
    Bayern Munich: 78.77% Freiburg: 0.77%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich11005:143
    2Freiburg11004:133

    Last Results with these Odds

    Bayern Munich - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.8%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - SC Freiburg
    German Bundesliga
    22.03.26 St. Pauli - Freiburg 1:2
    UEFA Europa League
    19.03.26 Freiburg - Genk 5:1
    German Bundesliga
    15.03.26 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:1
    UEFA Europa League
    12.03.26 Genk - Freiburg 1:0
    German Bundesliga
    07.03.26 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5
    WWLLT
    - Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga
    21.03.26 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0
    UEFA Champions League
    18.03.26 Bayern Munich - Atalanta 4:1
    German Bundesliga
    14.03.26 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 1:1
    UEFA Champions League
    10.03.26 Atalanta - Bayern Munich 1:6
    German Bundesliga
    06.03.26 Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3
    WWTWW
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    22.11.25 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 6:2
    25.01.25 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 1:2
    01.09.24 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 2:0
    01.03.24 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 2:2
    08.10.23 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 3:0
    08.04.23 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 0:1
    German DFB Pokal
    04.04.23 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 1:2
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - SC Freiburg
    German Bundesliga
    12.09.26 Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach
    05.09.26 Paderborn - Freiburg
    - Bayern Munich
    UEFA Champions League
    10.09.26 Bayern Munich - Bodø Glimt
    German Bundesliga
    05.09.26 Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich