Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	Paramount+, Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	01:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max, TNT
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, WOW
Greece	22:00	MEGA
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player, Shabake 3
Israel	22:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	04:00	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, RTK 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Moldova	22:00	Jurnal TV
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1, sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Nova Sport 3, Voyo
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	VTVcab


	Bayern Munich		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.50	2.88
	2.30	3.70	2.80
	2.32	3.70	2.85
	2.42	3.76	2.89
	2.23	3.85	3.09	Watch
	2.40	3.70	2.85
	2.28	3.56	3.11
	2.35	3.70	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)	3.68 ↓ (3.73)	2.92 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
41.1%

Draw
26%

Arsenal
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.1%	10.4%	10.4%

Bayern Munich - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 53 - 80.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 6 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 70.7% – 89.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 7 - 70%). Arsenal (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Bayern (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bayern (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Arsenal (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 3. Kim Min-Jae 44. Stanisic J. 8. Bischof T. 45. Pavlovic A. 7. Gnabry S. 34. Saibari I. 19. Davies A. 9. Kane H.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 15. Konsa E. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 39. Bruno Guimaraes 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. 29. Havertz K. 20. Madueke N.
Substitutes
46. Binder T. 23. Boey S. 11. Brown N. 14. Diaz L. 21. Ito H. 42. Karl L. 39. Sapoko Ndiaye B. 4. Tah J. 26. Ulreich S. (G) 40. Urbig J. (G)	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 56. Dowman M. 10. Eze E. 14. Gyokeres V. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 23. Merino M. 30. Meslier I. (G) 3. Mosquera C. 4. White B. 36. Zubimendi M.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Saka B. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
13', Havertz K. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Eze E. ⚽, Odegaard M. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Davies A. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
39', Konsa E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Tah J. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Saibari I. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
68', Gnabry S. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
68', Havertz K. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
69', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Rice D. ⚽, Gyokeres V. (A),
85', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
85', Davies A. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
90', Diaz L. ↓, Sapoko Ndiaye B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 1.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Bayern could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bayern is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Bayern: Buchmann T. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Olise M. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Arsenal: Hincapie P. (Ankle Injury) Saliba W. (Back Injury) Tzolis C. (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Bayern has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:18 (averaging 2.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayern against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 13:7 goals (averaging 2.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	6:2	4	7
14	Bayern Munich	3	1	2	0	10:5	5	5

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Arsenal: 12.14% Bayern Munich: 11.26%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Viking Stavanger - Bayern Munich	3:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	7:0 ✺
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTTWW
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
18.10.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Arsenal - Lille	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Arsenal - Leeds United	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Ipswich Town - Arsenal	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	3:1
17.04.24	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	1:0
09.04.24	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	2:2
International Champions Cup
17.07.19	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	2:1
19.07.17	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	1:2 penalties
UEFA Champions League
07.03.17	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	1:5
15.02.17	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	5:1

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