Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Planes M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Ellas V
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Real Madrid		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.47	4.6	5.66
	1.53	4.5	5.17	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.52	4.39	5.49
	1.5	4.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.66)	4.32 ↑ (3.55)	5.27 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
61.4%

Draw
21.2%

Real Sociedad
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

27.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Misa (C) 15. Garcia S. 14. Mendez M. 23. Lakrar M. 12. Yasmim 8. Dabritz S. 16. Angeldal F. 19. Navarro E. 18. Caicedo L. 7. del Castillo A. 11. Redondo A.	13. Arrula J. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 2. Florentino C. 4. Aparicio N. 3. Vicente A. (C) 21. Ramirez E. 5. Fernandez P. 22. Cahynova K. 24. Agirrezabala A. 9. Uria Gabilondo M. 8. Jacinto A.
Substitutes
22. Andersson B. 27. Bejarano N. 17. Bennison H. 5. Comendador P. 29. Cristobal S. 28. Dorado I. 20. Feller N. 4. Galvez Luna R. 21. Holmgaard S. 26. Lopez L. (G) 43. Santiago I.	19. Aparicio A. 14. Eguiguren I. 1. Estensoro A. (G) 23. Imade E. 18. Lavogez C. 11. Marcos C. 7. Pardo L.
Coaches
Quesada P.	Ruiz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Vicente A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yasmim ↓, Holmgaard S. ↑,
58', Uria Gabilondo M. ↓, Imade E. ↑,
63', Navarro E. ↓, Feller N. ↑,
73', Imade E. 🟨,
77', Jacinto A. ↓, Eguiguren I. ↑,
77', Ramirez E. ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
81', Dabritz S. ↓, Dorado I. ↑,
81', Redondo A. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
83', Eguiguren I. 🟨,
86', Aparicio A. 🟨,
87', Fernandez P. ↓, Pardo L. ↑,
87', Florentino C. ↓, Lavogez C. ↑,
90+3', Garcia S. ↓, Cristobal S. ↑,
90+3', Garcia S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 5.

Real Madrid has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Sociedad is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Real Madrid is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:15. (average 2.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 3.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
23.11.25	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
19.11.25	Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
15.11.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.11.25	Real Madrid - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
08.11.25	Real Madrid - Alhama	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLTW
- Real Sociedad Women
Spanish Liga F Women
23.11.25	Real Sociedad - Alhama	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Eibar - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 55.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
30.03.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	3:0
Spanish Copa De La Reina
13.02.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	3:1 ET
Spanish Liga F Women
04.02.25	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	1:4
Spanish Supercopa Women
23.01.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	3:2
Spanish Liga F Women
26.05.24	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	1:2
10.11.23	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	7:1
19.05.23	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	1:1

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide