Match Info

LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Sociedad		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.55	4.02
	1.15	5.95	43.08	Watch
	2.03	3.62	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.99)	4.03 ↑ (3.4)	11.71 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
62.3%

Draw
28.1%

Sevilla
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

29.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad's performance.

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.2%	7%	41.9%

Real Sociedad - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 21 - 50%). Sevilla will win (votes: 18 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 34.9% – 65.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sevilla (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sevilla (2.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Sevilla (1.83) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Sevilla (3.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.35) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Sevilla (votes: 11 - 68.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 31. Martin J. 17. Gomez S. 11. Guedes G. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 12. Herrera Y. 23. Mendez B. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 7. Barrenetxea A.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 15. Cardoso F. 23. Marcao 12. Suazo G. 18. Agoume L. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 20. Sow D. 10. Sanchez A. 7. Romero I. 11. Vargas R.
Substitutes
16. Caleta-Car D. 6. Elustondo A. 22. Goti Lopez M. 19. Karrikaburu J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 20. Odriozola A. 18. Soler C. 24. Sucic L. 8. Turrientes B. 21. Zakharyan A.	9. Adams A. 28. Bueno M. 32. Castrin 21. Ejuke C. 17. Gonzalez A. 24. Januzaj A. 22. Martinez R. 13. Nyland O. (G) 36. Oso 14. Peque 4. Salas K. 16. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Francisco S.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Oyarzabal M. (Pen),
30', 1 - 1, Gudelj N. ⚽, Suazo G. (A),
33', Herrera Y. ↓, Soler C. ↑,
34', Agoume L. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Oyarzabal M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Sow D. 🟨,
52', Sanchez A. ↓, Peque ↑,
53', Cardoso F. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
53', Agoume L. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
57', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
65', Romero I. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
69', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
69', Mendez B. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
69', Guedes G. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
79', Sow D. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
86', Gomez S. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
90+3', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 3.

Recent form of Real Sociedad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sevilla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Sociedad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Kubo T. (Ankle Injury) Oskarsson O. (Thigh Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Azpilicueta C. (Injury) Joan Jordan (Back Injury) Mendy B. (Hamstring Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Betis - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWL
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.25	Sevilla - Mallorca	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Sevilla - Barcelona	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
23.09.25	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
09.03.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	0:1
03.11.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2
02.03.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	3:2
26.11.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1
04.06.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1
09.11.22	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	1:2
20.03.22	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:0

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