Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid B		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.85	3.05	4.3
	1.91	3.14	4.37
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.84	3.32	4.33
	2	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.63)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.96 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
48%

Draw
28.9%

UCAM Murcia
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

27.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

26.3%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid B's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Madrid B - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Atlético Madrid B in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atlético Madrid B to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.06.23	UCAM Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Atlético Madrid B - Espanyol B	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Espanyol B - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.05.23	Estepona - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Atlético Madrid B - Leganés B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWWW
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.06.23	UCAM Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Peña Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ET ✺
21.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.05.23	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.06.23	UCAM Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Atlético Madrid B - UCAM Murcia	2:0

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