Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.21	3.18	3.29
	2.27	3.15	3.15
	2.1	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.22)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	3.26 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
42.4%

Draw
29.5%

UCAM Murcia
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.5%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Peña Deportiva - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Peña Deportiva is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.05.23	Atlético Saguntino - Peña Deportiva	3:3 ✺
07.05.23	Peña Deportiva - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Ebro - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Peña Deportiva - Teruel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWTT
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.05.23	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	3:0 ✺
30.04.23	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Peña Deportiva	0:1

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