Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.25	2.85	3.15
	2.47	2.81	3.22
	2.3	2.7	3.1
	2.39	2.92	3.18
	2.34	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.29)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)	3.11 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
38.8%

Draw
32%

Atlético Madrid B
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

32.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

33.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

UCAM Murcia - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Madrid B is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

UCAM Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.05.23	Peña Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ET ✺
21.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.05.23	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	3:0 ✺
30.04.23	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTWL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.05.23	Atlético Madrid B - Espanyol B	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Espanyol B - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.05.23	Estepona - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Atlético Madrid B - Leganés B	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Atlético Madrid B - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.08.22	Atlético Madrid B - UCAM Murcia	2:0

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