Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.99	3.01	4.15
	2	2.8	3.75
	1.93	3.13	4.25
	1.96	3.05	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.15)	3 ↑ (2.94)	3.91 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
46.3%

Draw
30.4%

Peña Deportiva
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

UCAM Murcia - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

UCAM Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.05.23	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	3:0 ✺
30.04.23	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	El Ejido - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTW
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.05.23	Atlético Saguntino - Peña Deportiva	3:3 ✺
07.05.23	Peña Deportiva - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Ebro - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Peña Deportiva - Teruel	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTTL

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