Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	101tv


	Atlético Malagueño		La Unión

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.78	2.35
	3.62	3.03	2.08	Watch
	3.03	3.03	2.45
	3.3	2.7	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.59)	2.89 ↓ (2.96)	2.31 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Malagueño
28.2%

Draw
31.9%

La Unión
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

30.7%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

30.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Atlético Malagueño - La Unión Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Malagueño (1.64) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Malagueño (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Perez M. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Riera R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Lopez M. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Raigal J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Malagueño has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

La Unión has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, La Unión has had a series of home games.

La Unión might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Malagueño - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Águilas	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Melilla - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLL
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	La Unión - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Almeria B - La Unión	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	La Unión - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	La Unión - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Atlético Malagueño - La Unión: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide