Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	La Unión		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.98	3.05
	2.34	2.95	3.28
	2.13	3.05	3.51	Watch
	2.36	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.97)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.22 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Unión
40.9%

Draw
30.4%

Real Jaén
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Unión's form might have worsened.

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Unión, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

La Unión - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Raigal J. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Perez M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

La Unión is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Jaén has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

La Unión will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Almeria B - La Unión	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	La Unión - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	La Unión - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Minera - La Unión	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Minera - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Real Jaén - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	Real Jaén - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Puente Genil - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLWT

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