Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 37

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Mansillés		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.15
	3	3.2	2.18
	2.85	3.26	2.23
	2.97	3.34	2.21	Watch
	2.96	3.26	2.2
	3	3.2	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.79)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	2.19 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mansillés
30.8%

Draw
27.9%

Burgos Promesas
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

28.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mansillés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mansillés than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Atlético Mansillés - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 3 - 0, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Mansillés has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burgos Promesas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mansillés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mansillés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mansillés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.05.25	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Mansillés	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Atlético Mansillés - Laguna de Tenerife	5:0 ✺
20.04.25	Leonesa B - Atlético Mansillés	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Atlético Mansillés - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Mirandés B - Atlético Mansillés	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTT
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Ciudad Rodrigo	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Bembibre - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.01.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Mansillés	2:1

Atlético Mansillés - Burgos Promesas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide