The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Marte 32.8%
Draw 31.6%
Luis Ángel Firpo 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
28.1%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
29.1%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Marte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Marte than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Marte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Marte won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Atlético Marte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Atlético Marte won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Marte won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.