The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 53.3%
Draw 26.4%
Atlético Goianiense 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.7%
19.5%
9.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.6%
19%
9.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+19.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.7%
5.9%
29.4%
Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 42.8% – 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Matheus Mendes (G) 25. Mariano 21. Battaglia R. 16. Igor Rabello 47. Romulo 27. Paulo Vitor 17. Igor Gomes 30. Palacios Alzate B. 42. Cadu 10. Paulinho 7. Hulk
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Maguinho 3. Adriano Martins 4. Alix Vinicius 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Lucas Kal 7. Roni 8. Cruz A. 10. Shaylon 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
14. Alan Kardec 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 41. Isaac 38. Pedrinho 33. Robert 40. Vitinho
13. Bruno Tubarao 19. Derek 23. Emerson Junior (G) 14. Luiz Felipe 15. Marcao 20. Max 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 17. Randerson 16. Rodallega Y. 18. Zuleta M.
Coaches
Milito G.
Gomes A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Lucas Kal (A),
23', 1 - 1, Paulinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alix Vinicius ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
68', Paulo Vitor ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
73', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
86', Rodriguez E. ↓, Derek ↑,
87', Cruz A. ↓, Max ↑,
89', Roni ↓, Randerson ↑,
90', Maguinho ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
90+2', Palacios Alzate B. ↓, Robert ↑,
90+2', Cadu ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 4.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Bruno Fuchs
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Scarpa
(Yellow Cards)
Otavio
(Injury)
Rubens
(Injury)
There will not play in Atlético GO: Alix Vinicius
(Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Daniel Penha
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-6.
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Battaglia R. 
Palacios Alzate B. 
Cruz A. 
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