The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Internacional RS 51%
Draw 27.6%
Atlético Mineiro 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
28.6%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
28.9%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional RS's performance.
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Internacional RS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Atlético MG (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Atlético MG (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Matheus Cunha (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. 3. Maripan G. 35. Aguirre B. 5. Villagra R. 8. Bruno Henrique 28. Vitinho 10. Alan Patrick (C) 26. Bernabei A. 7. Carbonero J.
22. Everson (C) 4. Ruan Tressoldi 40. Vitao 6. Lodi R. 2. Natanael 25. Perez T. 39. Cisse M. 36. Pascini K. 27. Minda A. 11. Bernard 18. Borbas T.
Substitutes
9. Alerrandro 31. Allex 12. Anthoni (G) 30. Calebe 53. de Morais Francisco L. F. 17. Eliasson N. 18. Juninho 27. Paulinho Paula 16. Ronaldo 29. Thiago Maia 4. Torres F. 52. Vinicius G.
5. Alexsander 9. Cassierra M. 15. Castano K. 28. Cuello 92. Dudu 21. Franco A. 7. Fred 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 8. Maycon 53. Pedro Lemos 19. Reinier 14. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Pezzolano P.
Dominguez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perez T. ↓, Castano K. ↑,
46', Bernard ↓, Fred ↑,
48', Bruno Gomes 🟨,
62', Fred 🟨,
63', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
64', Lodi R. ↓, Dudu ↑,
69', Pascini K. 🟨,
72', Villagra R. 🟨,
77', Matheus Cunha ↓, Anthoni ↑,
78', Bruno Henrique ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
78', Carbonero J. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
81', Cisse M. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
90+2', Alan Patrick ↓, Allex ↑,
90+2', Bruno Gomes ↓, Juninho ↑,
90+9', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
90+9', Mercado G. 🟨,
90+10', Castano K. 🟨,
90+10', Maripan G. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 1.
Recent performances by Internacional have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Atlético MG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Internacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Internacional: Kayky
(Ankle Injury)
Matheus Bahia
(Yellow Cards)
Rochet S.
(Lower Back Injury)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Duarte L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Gustavo Scarpa
(Muscle Injury)
Indio
(Knee Injury)
Lyanco
(Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Knee Injury)
Preciado A.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Internacional: Arhin B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Victor
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Igor Gomes
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now
Internacional: 0.85% Atletico-MG: 0.31%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Atletico-MG
29
12
8
9
39:34
5
44
17
Internacional
29
7
10
12
32:37
-5
31
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Mineiro - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.73%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.