Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 13

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday


	XV de Jaú		Itapirense

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.2
	3.25	2.82	2.13
	3.34	2.98	2.21	Watch
	3.25	3	2.2
	3.29	2.99	2.17
	3.3	2.9	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.52)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
27.6%

Draw
30.9%

Itapirense
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

32.2%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

31.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Itapirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

XV de Jaú - Itapirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. XV de Jaú will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for XV de Jaú: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Wesley Pacheco ⚽,
30', Caniato Moreira J. V. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', PV 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

XV de Jaú is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Itapirense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Itapirense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.25	Catanduva - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Lemense FC - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	Francana - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	XV de Jaú - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWT
- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.25	Itapirense - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Preto - Itapirense	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Itapirense - União Suzano	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Itapirense - Desportivo Brasil	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Comercial SP - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWLW

XV de Jaú - Itapirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide