Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	EC São Bernardo		Itapirense

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.26	3	3.1
	2.25	2.98	3.25	Watch
	2.29	3.33	3.02
	2.26	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.25)	3.06 ↓ (3.11)	3.08 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São Bernardo
40.6%

Draw
29.8%

Itapirense
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

EC São Bernardo - Itapirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Diego Lopes ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, Oliveira G. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

EC São Bernardo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches EC São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.03.25	União Suzano - EC São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	EC São Bernardo - Lemense FC	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Comercial SP - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Sertãozinho - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTTT
- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.03.25	Itapirense - Catanduva	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	XV de Jaú - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Itapirense - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Preto - Itapirense	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Itapirense - União Suzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
24.01.24	Itapirense - EC São Bernardo	1:1

EC São Bernardo - Itapirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide