Match Info

Date: 6 May 2021, Thursday


	Atlético Nacional		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.55
	2.85	3.05	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3	2.48
	3.03	3.09	2.56
	2.9	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.99	2.98	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.1)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	2.52 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
32.3%

Draw
30.4%

Argentinos Juniors
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

19.5%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Atlético Nacional - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Manuel Ferreira.

Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Argentinos Juniors is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Argentinos Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
02.05.21	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional	4:4 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.04.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
18.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Patriotas	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWW
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.21	Universidad Católica - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.21	Argentinos Juniors - Banfield	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.21	Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.21	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWT

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