Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Atlético Nacional		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.34	4.95	8.3	Watch
	1.45	4.65	7.38
	1.43	4.73	6.47
	1.3	5	8
	1.3	5.3	8.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.18)	5.02 ↓ (6.25)	7.75 ↓ (15.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
69.2%

Draw
18.7%

Cúcuta Deportivo
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79%

14.9%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cúcuta Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ospina D. (C) 5. Uribe C. 3. Parra N. 4. Haydar C. 33. Velasquez S. 8. Uribe M. 35. Lozano M. 18. Bello E. 7. Moreno M. 17. Arango C. 27. Asprilla D.	24. Abadia F. (G) 2. Ballesteros A. 44. Cordoba B. 4. Quinones J. 3. Calcaterra D. (C) 30. Montano B. 16. Londono K. 5. Mejia V. 7. Berdugo L. 90. Hernandez L. 23. Castaneda F.
Substitutes
30. Bauza J. 21. Campuzano J. 15. Castillo H. (G) 36. Correa R. 28. Garcia S. 14. Marin F. 19. Rengifo J. 31. Rios X. 29. Sarmiento A.	32. Agudelo J. 80. Albornoz O. 70. Cano A. 8. Ceballos J. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 1. Ramirez J. (G) 33. Tamara S.
Coaches
Arias D.	Paez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ballesteros A. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Lozano M. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
57', Moreno M. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
71', Uribe M. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
79', Hernandez L. ↓, Agudelo J. ↑,
79', Castaneda F. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
80', Bello E. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
88', Londono K. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
88', Berdugo L. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
90+5', Albornoz O. 🟨,
90+6', Haydar C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Nacional is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Nacional	11	7	2	2	21:10	11	23
11	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	15:19	-4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
29.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Cruz Azul - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
21.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
28.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
17.03.26	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
05.08.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Nacional	0:3
29.07.25	Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0
Colombian Primera A
27.11.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Nacional	0:1
09.11.19	Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:1
14.09.19	Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:3
23.03.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Nacional	1:3
21.11.15	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Nacional	1:2

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