The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millonarios 36.2%
Draw 30.6%
Atlético Nacional 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
28.7%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
28.3%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Millonarios - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Novoa D. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 6. Mosquera S. 26. Llinas A. (C) 17. Arias J. 22. Valencia S. 30. Viveros S. 18. Urena R. 19. Garcia M. 23. Castro L. 27. Contreras R.
15. Castillo H. (G) 6. Roman A. 4. Haydar C. 16. Tesillo W. (C) 20. Casco M. 8. Uribe M. 21. Campuzano J. 13. Rodriguez N. 19. Rengifo J. 29. Sarmiento A. 9. Morelos A.
Substitutes
20. Banguero D. 33. Castro A. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 1. De Amores G. (G) 4. Elizalde E. 35. Mosquera S. 7. Quintero D. 3. Samuel M. 28. Vega S.
27. Asprilla D. 30. Bauza J. 18. Bello E. 10. Cardona E. 44. Catano K. (G) 28. Garcia S. 7. Moreno M. 26. Rivero E. 5. Uribe C.
Coaches
Bustos F.
Arias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Urena R. 🟨,
11', Tesillo W. 🟨,
11', Roman A. 🟨,
14', Morelos A. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 0, Contreras R. ⚽, Viveros S. (A),
26', Mosquera S. ↓, Elizalde E. ↑,
33', Tesillo W. 🟨,
37', Rodriguez N. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
45+1', Casco M. 🟨,
45+1', Rengifo J. 🟨,
45+8', Garcia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
49', Campuzano J. 🟥,
55', Morelos A. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
64', Rengifo J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
65', Viveros S. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
80', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
80', Sarabia C. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
80', Garcia M. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Castro L. ⚽, Quintero D. (A),
89', Haydar C. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).
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Novoa D. (G) 
Urena R. 
Contreras R. 
De Amores G. (G) 
Bello E. 
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