Match Info

Date: 18 March 2021, Thursday


	Atlético Nacional		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5	Watch
	1.62	3.9	5
	1.62	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.58	3.65	5.2
	1.61	3.97	5.68
	1.65	3.7	5.5
	1.59	3.84	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	5.26 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
57.9%

Draw
24.5%

Guaraní Asuncion
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

20.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Atlético Nacional - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Atlético Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guaraní is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Guaraní have a series of home games.

In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
14.03.21	Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
06.03.21	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
02.03.21	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
24.02.21	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Royal Pari	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.02.21	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
11.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	0:2
Copa Sudamericana
27.08.13	Atlético Nacional - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
20.08.13	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	0:2

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