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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 65.1%
Draw 21.2%
Junior Barranquilla 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
21%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.8%
20.5%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Atlético Nacional have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Armani F. (G) 6. Roman A. 3. Parra N. 16. Tesillo W. 20. Casco M. 22. Cabrera E. 26. Marin F. 99. Poveda I. 23. Rodriguez J. (C) 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 29. Sarmiento A.
30. Martinez J. (G) 98. Pena J. 5. Rivera D. 23. Ortiz P. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 25. Caicedo D. 9. Paiva G. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T. (C)
Substitutes
10. Cardona E. 4. Haydar C. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 30. Parra Atehortua K. 31. Rios X. 24. Rosa J. 8. Uribe M. 80. Zapata J.
12. Acosta Almeida J. L. (G) 77. Barrios C. 28. Celis G. 10. Muriel L. 22. Rivas J. 7. Rivera H. 20. Sarmiento J. 34. Socarras D. 6. Villarreal D.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Viera S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Sarmiento A. ⚽, Parra N. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Roman A. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
21', Parra N. 🟨,
22', Caicedo D. 🟨,
24', 2 - 1, Paiva G. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Sarmiento A. ↓, Rosa J. ↑,
51', Cabrera E. 🟨,
62', Castrillon B. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
62', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
62', Gutierrez T. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
64', Casco M. 🟨,
65', Ortiz P. 🟨,
70', Angel Bernal F. S. 🟨,
72', 3 - 1, Roman A. ⚽, Poveda I. (A),
72', Angel Bernal F. S. ↓, Celis G. ↑,
72', Caicedo D. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
74', Rodriguez J. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
74', Cardona E. 🟨,
74', Poveda I. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
74', Cabrera E. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
77', Poveda I. 🟨,
83', Rios J. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
89', Pena J. 🟨,
90+2', Rivera D. 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Junior could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Atlético Nacional enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Nacional has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
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Armani F. (G) 
Roman A. 
Paiva G. 
Viera S. 
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