Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 17

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.33
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.75	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.86	3.35	3.65
	1.83	3.66	4.64
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.76	3.5	4.4
	1.83	3.6	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	4.17 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
51.4%

Draw
26.5%

Guaireña
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Guaireña will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rodriguez M. (G) 2. Raul Caceres 27. Roman Torales F. J. 33. Riveros P. 24. Salomoni F. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E. 5. Gil Romero G. 8. Moreira E. 23. Prieto R. 31. Barcelo F. 7. Camacho N. (C)	28. Finochietto L. (G) 2. Gimenez A. 16. Paiz J. 5. Gonzalez J. 23. Caceres E. 33. Coronel P. 19. Godoy D. 6. Paniagua M. (C) 11. Martinez A. 37. Comas L. 9. Verdun J.
Substitutes
10. Benitez B. 38. Diaz B. 30. Dionisi G. (G) 36. Martinez L. 35. Pereira A. 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 19. Rivarola V.	24. Aguilar J. 10. Duarte C. 7. Parzajuk K. 21. Rojas T. 13. Toledo O. (G) 20. Toledo R. 26. Vazquez O.
Coaches
de Muner P.	Ovelar H.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 1.

Recent matches Guaraní is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaireña is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guaraní is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
18.10.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	4:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
14.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWT
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.10.23	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
18.10.23	Tacuary - Guaireña	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	1:5 ✺
02.10.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
28.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
28.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.08.23	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
29.05.23	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2
24.03.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1
30.10.22	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
02.09.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:2
24.04.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:1

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