Match Info

Liga Women - Round 8

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda (Yumbo (COL))


	Orsomarso		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.35	1.6
	6.5	3.11	1.62
	5.88	3.2	1.64	Watch
	5	3.1	1.67
	5.19	3.44	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↓ (6.62)	3.24 ↓ (3.75)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
16.4%

Draw
28%

Atlético Nacional
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

24.4%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

23.7%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orsomarso - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Duque M. (G) 19. Sandoval A. 3. Ramos T. 2. Iglesias A. 17. Acevedo L. 25. Aguilar M. (C) 18. Hernandez H. 23. Goyes V. 24. Lasso Sanchez B. 15. Sanchez A. 20. Cassiani Y.	22. Castano S. (G) 6. Ocampo L. 15. Vidal K. 16. Garcia S. 8. Moreno M. 18. Sterling M. 10. Alvarez L. 21. Ibarguen K. 7. Martinez S. 14. Bustos M. 9. Gonzalez M.
Substitutes
1. Agamez D. (G) 7. Asprilla F. 13. Correa A. 8. Garcia H. 9. Macias P. 11. Mendivelso N. 14. Rivera T. 10. Sanchez S. 4. Vergara M.	28. Corena J. 19. Mosquera M. 27. Orozco M. 20. Orrego S. 13. Robayo L. 1. Villareal A. (G) 3. Zambrano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,
40', Sandoval A. ↓, Vergara M. ↑,
41', Martinez S. 🟨,
45', Aguilar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bustos M. ↓, Zambrano A. ↑,
46', Ibarguen K. ↓, Corena J. ↑,
53', Maziri F. 🟨,
56', Sanchez A. ↓, Mendivelso N. ↑,
65', Ocampo L. 🟨,
65', Alvarez L. ↓, Mosquera M. ↑,
79', Ocampo L. ↓, Robayo L. ↑,
79', Sterling M. ↓, Orozco M. ↑,
83', Corena J. 🟥,
90', Lasso Sanchez B. ↓, Asprilla F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

In recent matches, Orsomarso has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Orsomarso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC Women
Colombian Liga Women
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Orsomarso - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	América de Cali - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTWLT
- Atlético Nacional Medellin Women
Colombian Liga Women
12.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Real Santander	5:0 ✺
30.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
15.06.25	Orsomarso - Atlético Nacional	1:1
06.04.22	Atlético Nacional - Orsomarso	2:2

Orsomarso - Atlético Nacional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide