Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Nacional		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.35	4.60	7.75
	1.43	3.85	7.8	Watch
	1.45	4.7	8.71
	1.38	4.33	9.19
	1.43	4	8.6
	1.46	4.44	7.69	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.27)	4.33 ↓ (5.4)	8.03 ↓ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
66.5%

Draw
21.7%

Rionegro Águilas
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

17.4%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Armani F. (C) 6. Roman A. 3. Parra N. 16. Tesillo W. 20. Casco M. 80. Zapata J. 28. Rojas S. 7. Moreno M. 19. Rengifo J. 29. Sarmiento A. 9. Morelos A.	1. Soto J. (G) 13. Melendez J. 4. Mosquera A. 3. Ontaneda J. 32. Mena J. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 19. Lozano F. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 8. Ricaurte A. 7. Arizalas E. 21. Marquez R.
Substitutes
17. Arango C. 22. Cabrera E. 10. Cardona E. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 30. Parra Atehortua K. 99. Poveda I. 15. Reyes A. 31. Rios X. 33. Velasquez S.	12. Arango H. (G) 17. Betancur E. 14. Cortes A. 5. Lucho 10. Noguera J. 16. Ramirez M. 6. Rojas I. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 9. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Marquez R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
46', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
57', Rengifo J. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
58', Rojas S. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
58', Moreno M. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
66', Lara Vasquez N. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Cardona E. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Noguera J. ↑,
71', Tesillo W. 🟨,
78', Zapata J. ↓, Rios X. ↑,
79', Arizalas E. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
80', Morelos A. ↓, Arango C. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Poveda I. ⚽,
86', Melendez J. ↓, Lucho ↑,
90+3', Casco M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.

Atlético Nacional is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rionegro Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Atlético Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Nacional	11	7	2	2	21:10	11	23
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Copa
07.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	1:5 ✺
26.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
12.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWW?
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
06.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
07.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	1:2
08.11.25	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:1
18.05.25	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	2:1
05.08.24	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	1:1
04.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	0:3
Colombian Copa
04.10.23	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:1
27.09.23	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	0:3

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