The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético San Luis 22.4%
Draw 25.8%
Chivas Guadalajara 51.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
25%
51.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
24.5%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
The chances for Chivas Guadalajara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 3. Robson Bambu 14. Garcia M. 31. Aguila E. 17. Duarte A. 11. Rodriguez D. 13. Caicedo J. 21. Macias O. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. (C) 22. Llorente R.
1. Rangel R. (G) 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 23. Aguirre D. 7. Romo L. (C) 25. Alvarado R. 6. Govea O. 28. Gonzalez F. 14. Camberos H. 17. Marin R. 9. Sepulveda A. 30. Sandoval S.
Substitutes
18. Cruz A. 20. Flores L. 7. Galdames B. 30. Galindo B. 25. Lajud M. G. (G) 16. Lucas Esteves 5. Meraz R. 19. Munoz S. 8. Najera R. 26. Perez S.
10. Alvarez E. 33. Carrillo J. 19. Castaneda K. 56. Chavez A. 11. Gutierrez B. 57. Hernandez J. 37. Ledezma R. 18. Perez J. 16. Rey L. 13. Whalley O. (G)
Coaches
Mejia D.
Milito G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. (Own goal),
10', 0 - 2, Marin R. ⚽, Sepulveda A. (A),
30', Duarte A. ↓, Lucas Esteves ↑,
33', Sanchez A. ↓, Lajud M. G. ↑,
45+3', Caicedo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caicedo J. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
61', Camberos H. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
61', Sepulveda A. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
71', Garcia M. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
71', Rodriguez D. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
71', Sandoval S. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
71', Aguirre D. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
79', Gonzalez F. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Ledezma R. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.
Atlético San Luis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guadalajara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Atlético San Luis has had a series of away games.
In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Joao Pedro Galvao
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Guadalajara: Gonzalez B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe
(Knee Injury)
Medina J.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Muscle Injury)
Castillo J.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).