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Current Win Probability
Chivas Guadalajara 63.5%
Draw 21.2%
Tijuana 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
21.4%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
20.5%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 24. Gomez M. 7. Romo L. (C) 6. Govea O. 10. Alvarez E. 28. Gonzalez F. 30. Sandoval S. 14. Camberos H. 17. Marin R. 25. Alvarado R.
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Fernandez R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 10. Mora G. 15. Rivero I. 7. Preciado A. 19. Abreu D.
Substitutes
33. Carrillo J. 19. Castaneda K. 56. Chavez A. 11. Gutierrez B. 57. Hernandez J. 59. Inda S. 18. Perez J. 16. Rey L. 9. Sepulveda A. 13. Whalley O. (G)
4. Bilbao U. 34. Boya F. 9. El Ghezouani M. 13. Elias Manoel 11. Gonzalez F. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 31. Padilla Y. 26. Perez A. 16. Vega A. 20. Zapata A.
Coaches
Milito G.
Abreu S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
8', Alvarez E. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Sandoval S. ⚽, Romo L. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Marin R. ⚽, Campillo Del Campo D. (A),
45+1', Arciga R. 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 0, Marin R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Abreu D. ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
46', Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
46', Rivero I. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
49', Gomez M. 🟨,
53', Alvarez E. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
53', Gomez M. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
56', Arciga R. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Alvarado R. ⚽, Gutierrez B. (A),
64', Sandoval S. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
64', Camberos H. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
69', 5 - 0, Campillo Del Campo D. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
72', Marin R. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
73', Romo L. 🟨,
75', 5 - 1, Elias Manoel ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
79', Mora G. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 2, Elias Manoel ⚽, Preciado A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of away games.
In this match, Guadalajara is the undeniable favorite.
There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Castillo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Gonzalez B.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
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Rangel R. (G) 
Porozo J. 
Rivero I. 
Whalley O. (G) 
Boya F. 
El Ghezouani M. 
Elias Manoel 
Gonzalez F. 
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