The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pachuca 30.1%
Draw 26.7%
Chivas Guadalajara 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
27.5%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
27.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Guadalajara (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (C) 14. Sanchez C. 13. Berlanga J. 2. Barreto S. D. 15. Venegas F. 16. Rivera C. 10. Montiel E. 29. Kenedy 26. Bautista A. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.
1. Rangel R. (G) 24. Gomez M. 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 7. Romo L. (C) 30. Sandoval S. 6. Govea O. 28. Gonzalez F. 14. Camberos H. 25. Alvarado R. 10. Alvarez E. 17. Marin R.
Substitutes
9. Alcaraz A. 187. Alvarez G. 28. Arroyo A. 32. Budib P. 206. Contreras T. A. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 6. Isais M. 7. Pizarro R. 30. Rodriguez S. 21. Vallejo N.
33. Carrillo J. 19. Castaneda K. 11. Gutierrez B. 57. Hernandez J. 59. Inda S. 37. Ledezma R. 18. Perez J. 16. Rey L. 9. Sepulveda A. 13. Whalley O. (G)
Coaches
Mora B.
Milito G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Alvarado R. ⚽, Camberos H. (A),
25', Idrissi O. 🟨,
32', Venegas F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Alvarez E. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
53', Sanchez C. 🟨,
57', Bautista A. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
59', Sandoval S. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
59', Camberos H. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
65', Idrissi O. ↓, Vallejo N. ↑,
65', Montiel E. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Rondon S. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Marin R. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
84', Govea O. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
87', Kenedy ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
90', Arroyo A. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 1.
Pachuca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guadalajara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Pachuca has had a series of away games.
Guadalajara might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Pachuca: Dominguez A.
(Foot Injury)
Eduardo Bauermann
(Red Card)
There will not play in Guadalajara: Gonzalez B.
(Injury)
Ledezma R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Guadalajara Chivas
10
5
3
2
17:10
7
18
12
Pachuca
10
3
3
4
15:11
4
12
Last Results with these Odds
Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Moreno C. (C) 
Barreto S. D. 
Rivera C. 
Kenedy 
Idrissi O. 
Rondon S. 
Alcaraz A. 
Budib P. 
Whalley O. (G) 
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