The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos Laguna 17.2%
Draw 21.3%
Chivas Guadalajara 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17%
21.2%
61.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
16.9%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Santos Laguna - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 3. Cuevas M. 14. Orona E. 18. Pardo F. (C) 25. Sanchez F. 17. Echeverria E. 21. Villalba F. 5. Lopez A. 10. Bullaude E. 7. Gonzalez D. 19. Aguirre E.
1. Rangel R. (G) 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 16. Rey L. 7. Romo L. (C) 14. Camberos H. 37. Ledezma R. 6. Govea O. 33. Carrillo J. 11. Gutierrez B. 17. Marin R. 25. Alvarado R.
Substitutes
4. Abella J. 6. Guemez J. 33. Holguin H. (G) 29. Jimenez T. 15. Mancha J. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 77. Palacios K. 28. Perez J. 22. Picon K. 26. Sordo R.
10. Alvarez E. 19. Castaneda K. 56. Chavez A. 24. Gomez M. 34. Gonzalez A. 28. Gonzalez F. 18. Perez J. 30. Sandoval S. 9. Sepulveda A. 13. Whalley O. (G)
Coaches
Alves R.
Milito G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Ledezma R. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
53', Aguirre E. ↓, Sordo R. ↑,
64', Carrillo J. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
66', Lopez A. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
66', Gonzalez D. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Marin R. ⚽,
81', Camberos H. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
81', Marin R. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
82', Gutierrez B. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
85', Orona E. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
90+5', Cuevas M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.
Santos Laguna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guadalajara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Santos Laguna has had a series of away games.
In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Santos Laguna: Amione B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Lozano C.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Gonzalez B.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Guadalajara Chivas
10
5
3
2
17:10
7
18
16
Santos Laguna
10
3
1
6
10:15
-5
10
Last Results with these Odds
Santos Laguna - the odds 5.48 are the expected chance of winning is 16.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.