Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Palmar (Sanlúcar de Barrameda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Atlético Sanluqueño		Eldense

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	4.46	3.2	1.88
	4.63	3.41	1.79	Watch
	4.2	2.9	1.83
	4.49	3.22	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.8)	3.17 ↑ (3.08)	1.83 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Sanluqueño
20.8%

Draw
29%

Eldense
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

29.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

29.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Atlético Sanluqueño - Eldense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanluqueño (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dominguez R. (G) 7. Kikin 12. Ukwuije N. 14. Pavon A. 3. Cabrera J. 5. Niza S. 21. Satoca D. (C) 26. Andujar J. 20. Lobede U. 17. Rodri 19. Juarez A.	1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. (C) 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 6. Calvo B. 12. Molina M. 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel 7. Quintana Nacho 20. Ibanez R.
Substitutes
4. Almagro S. 30. Barea P. 28. Bargallo A. 15. Denia M. 18. Diallo B. 23. Gomez A. 22. Lopez R. 6. Mulenga T. 29. Reyes G. 1. Rocafort R. (G) 11. Simon L. 35. Valencia F. (G)	24. Alba H. 15. Billups B. 8. Bustillo M. 9. Dioni 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 19. Ibarrondo A. 22. Nunez R. 13. Valencia P. (G) 23. Vallejo J. 14. Vega O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Ibanez R. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Rodri (Penalty Awarded),
45+7', 1 - 2, Calvo B. ⚽,
45+9', 🟨,
45+9', Juarez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kikin ↓, Barea P. ↑,
61', Juarez A. ↓, Simon L. ↑,
63', Ibanez R. ↓, Dioni ↑,
63', Calvo B. ↓, Bustillo M. ↑,
67', 🟨,
73', Barea P. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Bustillo M. ⚽,
78', Serradell A. G. 🟨,
81', Lobede U. ↓, Denia M. ↑,
81', Niza S. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
82', Molina M. 🟨,
86', 1 - 4, Dioni ⚽,
90', Molina M. ↓, Vega O. ↑,
90', Quintana Nacho ↓, Nunez R. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eldense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sanluqueño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.03.26	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Sabadell - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tarazona - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 WWLLW
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.03.26	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:1 ✺
04.03.26	Villarreal B - Eldense	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hércules - Eldense	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Eldense - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Eldense - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0

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