Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 18

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Catarinense 2 🌤️ ...


	Atlético Tubarão		Guarani de Palhoça

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.10	3.60
	1.98	3.05	3.55
	2.17	2.72	3.52
	2	3	3.88	Watch
	2.14	2.65	3.45
	1.97	2.93	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.66)	2.91 ↓ (3.25)	3.66 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tubarão
44.4%

Draw
31%

Guarani de Palhoça
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tubarão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tubarão's form might have worsened.

Guarani de Palhoça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tubarão than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tubarão, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani de Palhoça than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarani de Palhoça, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Tubarão - Guarani de Palhoça Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atlético Tubarão (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tubarão (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Atlético Tubarão has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guarani de Palhoça has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Tubarão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Tubarão is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tubarão won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Tubarão won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tubarao	18	6	5	7	23:21	2	23
6	Guarani de Palhoca	18	6	5	7	24:24	0	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tubarão
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
22.07.26	Fluminense-SC - Atlético Tubarão	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Atlético Tubarão - Hercílio Luz	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Caravaggio - Atlético Tubarão	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Tubarão - Metropolitano	2:3 ✺
05.07.26	Atlético Tubarão - Nação	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Guarani de Palhoça
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
19.07.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Blumenau	1:1 ✺
15.07.26	Fluminense-SC - Guarani de Palhoça	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Grêmio Juventus - Guarani de Palhoça	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Hercílio Luz	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Caravaggio - Guarani de Palhoça	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
07.06.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Atlético Tubarão	2:2
16.06.24	Guarani de Palhoça - Atlético Tubarão	1:0
09.07.22	Guarani de Palhoça - Atlético Tubarão	2:1

Atlético Tubarão - Guarani de Palhoça: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide