Match Info
Catarinense 2 - Round 16Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday
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Atlético Tubarão |
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Hercílio Luz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.60 |
3.10 |
1.90 |
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3.65 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
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3.72 |
3.14 |
1.91 |
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4.03 |
3.31 |
1.84 |
 Watch |
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3.65 |
3.1 |
1.89 |
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3.61 |
3.41 |
1.96 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(3.15) |
3.21 ↑
(3.1) |
1.9 ↓
(2.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Tubarão
24.3% | Draw
28.1% | Hercílio Luz
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tubarão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tubarão than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Atlético Tubarão - Hercílio Luz Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hercílio Luz (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 86', 🟥,
- 90+2', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense).In recent matches, Atlético Tubarão has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Hercílio Luz is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Hercílio Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Hercílio Luz will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tubarão won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tubarão won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 25 | 42 |
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| 5 | Tubarao | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 23 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Hercílio Luz - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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