Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Tubarão		Joinville

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Atlético Tubarão
20.2%

Draw
31.4%

Joinville
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.7%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

17.7%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tubarão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tubarão than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Tubarão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Joinville is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético Tubarão won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Tubarão won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tubarão
Brazilian Serie D
21.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Atlético Tubarão	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
15.10.20	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	6:1 ✺
11.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TTLLW
- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
21.10.20	Joinville - São Caetano	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	São Caetano - Joinville	2:1 ✺
15.10.20	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	6:1 ✺
10.10.20	Joinville - Caxias	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWTL

Brazilian Serie D
15.10.20	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	6:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
23.01.20	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	1:0
07.04.19	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	0:1
20.02.19	Atlético Tubarão - Joinville	3:2
01.04.18	Atlético Tubarão - Joinville	3:0
18.02.18	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	1:1
02.04.17	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	4:3

Atlético Tubarão - Joinville