Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Joinville		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.35	4.5
	1.75	3.3	4.3
	1.78	3.36	4.35
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.82	3.38	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.77)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	4.26 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joinville
51.1%

Draw
27.4%

São Caetano
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

23.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

São Caetano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Joinville is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Joinville won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Joinville won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
18.10.20	São Caetano - Joinville	2:1 ✺
15.10.20	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	6:1 ✺
10.10.20	Joinville - Caxias	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville	1:0 ✺
01.10.20	Joinville - São Luiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTLW
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Serie D
18.10.20	São Caetano - Joinville	2:1 ✺
15.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - São Caetano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.10.20	São Caetano - São Bento	1:1 penalties ✺
09.10.20	São Bento - São Caetano	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
06.10.20	São Caetano - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.10.20	São Caetano - Joinville	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
16.11.13	São Caetano - Joinville	3:2
23.08.13	Joinville - São Caetano	1:0
09.10.12	Joinville - São Caetano	N/A
14.07.12	São Caetano - Joinville	N/A

Joinville - São Caetano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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