Match Info
Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
São Caetano |
|
Joinville |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
|
 |
3.35 |
3.35 |
1.95 |
|
 |
3.32 |
3.56 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.25 |
3.2 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.35 |
3.46 |
2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.86) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
1.99 ↓
(2.12) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Caetano
27.3% | Draw
27% | Joinville
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
São Caetano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Joinville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). São Caetano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Joinville will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3. Including matches at home between the teams São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie B | | | 16.11.13 | São Caetano - Joinville | 3:2 | | 23.08.13 | Joinville - São Caetano | 1:0 | | 09.10.12 | Joinville - São Caetano | N/A | | 14.07.12 | São Caetano - Joinville | N/A |
|
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