Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	São Caetano		Joinville

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São Caetano
27.3%

Draw
27%

Joinville
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

20.9%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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São Caetano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Joinville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Caetano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Joinville will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Serie D
15.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - São Caetano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.10.20	São Caetano - São Bento	1:1 penalties ✺
09.10.20	São Bento - São Caetano	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
06.10.20	São Caetano - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTL
- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
15.10.20	Joinville - Atlético Tubarão	6:1 ✺
10.10.20	Joinville - Caxias	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville	1:0 ✺
01.10.20	Joinville - São Luiz	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLWT

São Caetano - Joinville