Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 30 June 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Atlético Tucumán		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.3	3.1	3.4
	2.37	3.12	3.45
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.32	3.08	3.32	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.04)	3.07 ↓ (3.11)	3.28 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
40.5%

Draw
30.8%

Unión Santa Fe
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

30%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

31.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tucumán's form might have worsened.

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Atlético Tucumán - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 24. Tesuri R. 2. Bianchi B. 20. Romero N. 39. Orihuela M. 5. Sanchez A. 8. Acosta G. (C) 16. Kociubinski B. 10. Pereyra J. 37. Coronel M. 19. Estigarribia M.	25. Moyano S. (G) 16. Vera F. 32. Paz N. 5. Piris O. 3. Corvalan C. (C) 34. Zenon K. 8. Roldan E. 6. Gordillo Y. 7. Luna Diale M. 30. Domina J. 39. Machuca I.
Substitutes
31. Cabral Y. 4. De La Fuente H. 15. Di Franco F. 6. Flores F. 21. Gonzalez M. 17. Guille B. 30. Ibarrola W. 14. Lagos A. 9. Maestro I. 12. Ojeda L. (G) 3. Ortiz M. 18. Ruiz R.	22. Aued L. 10. Canete M. 11. Castrillon B. 21. Comas G. 20. Del Blanco M. 14. Gerometta F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 19. Gonzalez T. 26. Luduena J. 17. Mosqueira J.
Coaches
Pusineri L.	Talarico F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 1.

Recent matches Atlético Tucumán is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión Santa Fe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Tucumán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Tucumán will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Menendez C. (Injury)

There will not play in Unión Santa Fe: Juarez D. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Tucumán won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.06.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán	4:1 ✺
13.06.23	Atlético Tucumán - Godoy Cruz	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Lanús - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
26.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Tigre - Atlético Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWT
- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.06.23	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	3:0 ✺
17.06.23	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	1:1 ✺
12.06.23	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
29.05.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.22	Atlético Tucumán - Unión Santa Fe	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.02.22	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.11.21	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.21	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	2:2
05.12.20	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	3:5
13.11.20	Atlético Tucumán - Unión Santa Fe	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.19	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	0:1

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