Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)


	Tigre		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.8
	1.98	3.4	3.7
	1.92	3.55	3.95
	2.02	3.47	3.97
	2.1	3.2	3.5
	1.95	3.54	3.82	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
47.5%

Draw
27.4%

Atlético Tucumán
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Tigre - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 26).

Tigre has the most likely position - 12 (7.11%), project points - 37, currently - 21, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 38, very small importance 0, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tigre won 2.

Recent matches Tigre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Tucumán is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tigre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tigre will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tigre: Garay M. (Injury) Protti I. (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Gonzalez M. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tigre won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tigre won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.05.23	Independiente - Tigre	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Tigre - Newells Old Boys	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Tigre	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre	1:1 ✺
25.04.23	Tigre - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWTW
- Atlético Tucumán
Copa Argentina
16.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
06.05.23	Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
28.04.23	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate	1:1 ✺
24.04.23	Racing - Atlético Tucumán	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.22	Tigre - Atlético Tucumán	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
25.05.19	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	0:1
18.05.19	Tigre - Atlético Tucumán	5:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.18	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	3:0
24.02.18	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	0:0
19.12.16	Tigre - Atlético Tucumán	0:0
07.03.16	Tigre - Atlético Tucumán	5:0

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