Match Info

Date: 14 October 2021, Thursday


	Caracas		Atlético Venezuela

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.1
	1.55	3.85	4.25
	1.58	3.9	4.5
	1.55	3.86	4.47
	1.6	3.7	4.75
	1.6	3.8	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.91)	3.75 ↑ (3.66)	4.6 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
56.3%

Draw
24.1%

Atlético Venezuela
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.

Atlético Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Venezuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caracas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	2.9%	10.3%

Caracas - Atlético Venezuela Predictions

Users Predictions: Caracas will win (59 of 68 users predict this - 86.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Caracas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caracas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Caracas won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Caracas won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.10.21	Monagas - Caracas	1:3 ✺
30.09.21	Mineros de Guayana - Caracas	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:3 ✺
16.09.21	Caracas - LALA FC	5:2 ✺
08.09.21	Universidad Central - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLWT
- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.10.21	Atlético Venezuela - LALA FC	3:1 ✺
24.09.21	Universidad Central - Atlético Venezuela	4:0 ✺
17.09.21	Atlético Venezuela - Mineros de Guayana	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Metropolitanos - Atlético Venezuela	2:1 ✺
05.09.21	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
28.08.21	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:2
10.07.21	Caracas - Atlético Venezuela	3:1
20.05.21	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:4
29.09.19	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:2
07.04.19	Caracas - Atlético Venezuela	2:2
28.10.18	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:1
18.05.18	Caracas - Atlético Venezuela	0:2

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