Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.7	Watch
	2.20	2.70	3.70
	2.22	2.72	3.7	Watch
	2.24	2.86	3.91
	2.24	2.81	3.83	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.75
	2.15	2.71	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	2.75 ↓ (2.88)	3.77 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
41.9%

Draw
33.6%

Colegiales
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

32.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

32.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético de Rafaela have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Atlético de Rafaela aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Atlético de Rafaela - Colegiales Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Solveyra A. 2. Fernandez G. 6. Ponce F. 3. Wuattier E. 8. Flores L. 5. Soloa F. 10. Cainelli N. 7. Moreno M. 9. Albertengo L. 11. Quiroga M.	1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ortiz L. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Ocampo E. 5. Castillo L. 10. Zicarelli F. 11. Trinidad E. 7. Marin F. 9. Toloza N.
Substitutes
15. Capurro J. 16. Fernandez M. 20. Leineker C. 12. Martinez R. (G) 18. Nouet F. 19. Pardo M. 13. Ramirez R. 14. Ramos N. 17. Torrens J.	19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 15. Baglivo G. L. 14. Chiavetto A. 18. Gonzalez L. 13. Insua E. 17. Juarez L. 16. Montiel F. 20. Perri T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Ortiz L. (Own goal),
37', Hanashiro F. 🟨,
45+2', Flores L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zicarelli F. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
46', Soloa F. ↓, Capurro J. ↑,
52', Albertengo L. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
63', Solveyra A. 🟨,
64', Flores L. 🟨,
69', Quiroga M. ↓, Torrens J. ↑,
73', Capurro J. 🟨,
75', Nouet F. 🟨,
77', Ocampo E. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
80', Castillo L. ↓, Juarez L. ↑,
83', Cainelli N. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
83', Moreno M. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
83', Hanashiro F. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
83', Trinidad E. ↓, Baglivo G. L. ↑,
84', Juarez L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlético Rafaela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.26	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWL
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.05.26	Colegiales - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Colegiales - Güemes	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Chacarita Juniors - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Colegiales - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTWLW

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